How abortion and the economy will affect today’s midterm elections

Hello, Broadsheet readers! Nancy Pelosi talks about the attack on her husband, Kathy Griffin being suspended from Twitter for impersonating Elon Musk and the issues that will influence women’s voter turnout in today’s election.

Today is the day. Americans are voting today in the midterm elections, and the results will be both eye-opening and politically transformative after a whirlwind legislative year.

Following the reversal by the Supreme Court of deer v. Wade, which leaves abortion laws to the states, voters in California, Vermont, Kentucky, Michigan and Montana will decide on statewide abortion referendums on Tuesday. In August, Kansas, a conservative state, overwhelmingly rejected an election measure that would have removed the right to abortion from the state constitution.

While Kansas’ vote to repudiate abortion bans indicates some Republican-leaning states take a more middle-of-the-road view of reproductive rights, economic uncertainty has since become a greater concern for Americans burdened by soaring drug prices. basic necessities like gasoline and groceries.

The economy is now the top election issue for voters, according to an October Gallup poll, though abortion and crime follow close behind.

Mid-term reviews can also shed light on certain demographic changes. White suburban women, who make up 20% of the electorate, now favor Republicans by 15 percentage points due to growing economic concerns, according to a the wall street journal poll released Thursday. White suburban women favored Democrats by 12 percentage points in the Logof the August poll, suggesting that the summertime fervor for abortion rights has since waned.

“There was a certain expectation over the summer, just after the [Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization] decision, that there would be this energy from women voters…and that would motivate them to go to the polls,” says Debbie Walsh, director of the Center for American Women and Politics at Rutgers University. But as women find it increasingly difficult to make ends meet, many seek to support the party that is not in power.

Yet voters say abortion is their second priority issue. And for women, who are more politically motivated by abortion issues than men, this could lead to higher voter turnout.

“Women are still registered in greater numbers than men. They outperform men,” Walsh says. In the last presidential election, 9.7 million more women than men voted. “The question is, will it be even bigger this time?” She wonders.

Their turnout could also dictate the fate of the record number of women running for state and governorships.

Twenty-five women are running for governor in 20 states, and this election will likely break the record of nine women governors serving concurrently, first set in 2004.

“There is always this barrier that voters have about women as CEOs. It doesn’t fit the stereotype of leading at the highest level,” Walsh says. “Women disrupt these stereotypes when they hold these positions and when they compete for these positions.”

Nineteen states have never voted for a female governor, but that could change this election. In Arkansas, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Donald Trump’s former White House press secretary and daughter of former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, is poised to win against Democratic challenger Chris Jones. And in Georgia, Stacey Abrams could become the state’s first female governor — and the nation’s first black female governor — if she defeats incumbent Brian Kemp.

The results for women in Congress appear less robust. Fewer women are running than in previous years, and some of the candidates most vulnerable to losses this year are women who flipped their seats in 2018. But there are still several notable races. No black woman has served in the Senate since Kamala Harris was nominated for vice president. This election, four black women are running for a seat in the US Senate, including Democrat Cheri Beasley, who is only 5% ahead of Republican Ted Budd in North Carolina. In Florida, Democrat Val Demings takes on Republican incumbent Marco Rubio, though Rubio leads by an average of 9.2%.

Tomorrow, the Broadsheet will hit your inboxes with election results updates.

Paige McGlauflin
[email protected]
@paidion

The Broadsheet is Fortune’s newsletter for and about the world’s most powerful women. Subscribe here.

ALSO FEATURED

– Break your silence. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi spoke about her husband’s assault at their San Francisco home in late October. “I was very scared,” Pelosi told CNN on Monday. “I think of my children, my grandchildren. I never thought it would be Paul. Fortune

– Lawsuit dismissed. A US District Court judge in Massachusetts has dismissed Barstool Sports founder Dave Portnoy’s lawsuit against digital media Insider. Portnoy filed a lawsuit against the outlet’s general manager, editor and two correspondents over two articles quoting women accusing him of sexual misconduct and assault. Washington Post

– Invest in diversity. Department store giant Macy’s will invest $30 million over the next five years to support businesses run by people from underrepresented groups in the retail sector. The retailer is working with the non-profit organization Momentus Capital, which will oversee the fund. New York Times

MOVERS AND SHAKERS: Wells Fargo has promoted home loan manager Kristy Fercho to oversee its various segments, representation and inclusion division. Time, publisher of Time magazine, has appointed Jessica Sibley its new CEO.

IN CASE YOU MISSED IT

– Twitter Impersonators. Twitter has suspended comedian Kathy Griffin’s account for impersonating the platform’s new owner, Elon Musk. On Sunday, Musk tweeted that accounts engaging in impersonation without “clearly stating” that they were parodies would be suspended. CNN

– Surprise winner. Kenyan runner Sharon Lokedi unexpectedly won the women’s New York City Marathon race on Sunday, finishing the race in 2:23:23. She finished the race 16 seconds ahead of world champion Gotytom Gebreslase, who came third. Sunday’s race was Lokedi’s first marathon in New York. The runner’s world

– Late Confession. A French cardinal admitted on Monday to abusing a 14-year-old girl in the 1980s, making him the first Catholic clergyman of his rank to admit to abusing a minor. The cardinal will take his leave and put himself “at the disposal of justice”, according to Bishop Éric de Moulins-Beaufort of Reims, who read the cardinal’s statement. the wall street journal

– Abandonment of the rectifier. Concerns about health risks and a growing preference for natural hairstyles are reducing the US hair straighteners and relaxers market. Sales fell from $71 million in 2011 to $30 million in 2021, according to the market research firm Kline & Co. Year-over-year sales fell 25% in 2020 alone. Forbes

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A year ago, Britney Spears was released from a notorious guardianship. What drove her father to take control of her life? Vulture

Women are the big losers of pocket politics FinancialTimes

A Pasadena school is the first in the country to be named after Octavia Butler — and it’s her alma mater 19th*

SEPARATING WORDS

“If I have to leave my baby, I’m going to leave him for something special…It was now or never for me.”

Rihanna on her decision to perform on the Super Bowl Halftime Show less than a year after giving birth to her first child.

Luz W. German